COVID Corner: The Statistics

The statistics used to track COVID have frustrated me beyond what I can possible express. The reason is because total cases were presented rather than utilizing sampling methods. Remember, everything I say in this series is up to debate and allow me to use a simple example to show you what I mean about sampling.

Let us assume that you want to know how much chlorine is in your swimming pool. The thing that you would not do is drain the entire pool and measure all the chlorine. Rather, you would measure the chlorine by taking a small sample of water. After measuring the chlorine in a small volume sample, you can then extrapolate out to the full volume of the pool.

However, it is not the total amount of chlorine in the pool that is really the point. It is the concentration of chlorine that indicates whether the water will burn your eyes or not. Anytime you have a very large population, you never measure the entire population; instead, you take a representative sample.

I do not understand why some of the top scientific organizations in the world were using sum totals of COVID cases as a measuring stick. This is never done in science for large populations. The concentrations of COVID in the society would have been more useful, taken from a representative sample.

Governments, or at least, the USA government, simply stacked the number of COVID cases one on top the other, day after day, for over a year. This information tells you nothing. The numbers in 2020 have nothing to do with the numbers in 2021. The number of COVID cases per capita for a selected time range makes more sense, since infected people are getting well, as new cases are emerging.

Anyone with a simple bachelors degree in science knows this. The people in charge cannot tell me that they did not know because I know they know. How is that for faith in the powers that be?

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